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Could a blockbuster move on the Rams offense solidify their shot at the NFC West title? There's still time to see, but until then, check out how Will Tondo and I think each game will end against the spread this Sunday.
Basel's ATS 2021: 31-18-2 (3-3 Week 9)
Tondo's ATS 2021: 24-27 (3-3 Week 9)
Basel's Week 10 Picks
1 PM Games
Tondo's Week 10 Picks
1 PM Games
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots
Uh oh… are the Patriots back? They’ve won four of their last five and are sitting pretty in the AFC East with the Bills tumbling. The defense led by Matthew Judon is lethal, and their secondary snagged three picks last week. While they rise, the Browns begin to fall. The Browns now have no run game, with Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton both out with COVID. Fantasy owners will be happy with D’Ernest Johnson. Neither here nor there, give me Patriots -2.
Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys
What in the world happened last week for the Cowboys? It was definitely an outlier game, but Dak seems to be off, and the defense hit a major snag. Could this be a one off instance or are the wheels falling off? People began to become very bullish of the Cowboys, but maybe it was premature? The Falcons on the other hand, are stringing together something quite nice. They just beat the Saints, and yes they were without Winston, but still. Matt Ryan is looking like him old self, and Cordarelle Patterson has been lights out on both sides of the offense. This screams trap game, but there isn’t a shot that the Cowboys get embarrassed back to back weeks. Do I think 10 points is absurd? Yes. Therefore, Falcons +9.5.
4 PM Games
Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals
No Kyler, no De’Andre, no Chase Edmonds, no JJ Watt, no problem! The Cardinal’s offense rekindled James Conner, who scored three times against an impressive 49ers defense. Speaking of defense, Arizona possess a championship caliber one. The Panthers started the season hot, but have cooled down. CMC returns but they were stagnant against the Patriots. Don’t let the Cam Newton signing fool you, Cardinals -10.
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers
Even without Aaron Rodgers, the Packers were still competitive, despite losing to the Chiefs 13-7. He may not return but if he does, the Packers should close it out. The Seahawks, however, missed Russell Wilson greatly. They went 1-2 without him, but their issues also lie within the defense. They have a tough division and are looking for a spark, but not sure this is the week that occurs. This is a tough one, because of Rodgers status. He needs to test negative but does his symptoms impact his game? I don’t know, gun to head and my gut says Seahawks +3.5.
Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos
The Von Miller era is over, but the Broncos defense had it’s best game last year against a very strong Dallas front. They shut them down, while Denver’s run game was outstanding. Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon rushed for nearly 200 yards. The Eagles kept it close last week against the Chargers, but their run game has been eh without Miles Sanders. I am anti-Philly in the sports world and I’ll ride the hot hand, Broncos -2.5.
Sunday Night Football
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders
You would think without Aaron Rodgers the Chiefs were going to steamroll the Packers. They only won 13-7. The offense is a mystery right now. Despite losing to the Giants, the Raiders have had a surprising season, and I feel Derek Carr can carve up the decimated Chiefs defense. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS as underdogs in their last give while the Chiefs are 3-14 ATS in their last 17. A division rivalry game and a big one in terms of early playoff position, I like the Raiders +2.5 here.
Basel's Week 10 Picks
1 PM Games
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans
With no Alvin Kamara, and with Trevor Siemian under center for New Orleans, I think Tennessee is poised to take this one by at least a touchdown. On a 5-game win streak that's seen the Titans take down the Bills, Chiefs, and Rams, Ryan Tannehill has proven that he can get the job done in the air, even without Derrick Henry to back him up. AJ Brown is a solid backup should Julio Jones see limited minutes, and against New Orleans' offense, I see no reason why Tennessee shouldn't take this one by more than a field goal.
Titans -2.5
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
After a highly disappointing loss to Jacksonville, the Bills will look to get a redemption win against AFC-East rivals the Jets. However, the Bills defense will have to shut down the emerging phenom known as Mike White. In what will be his third start of the season, White will look to impress in his first game against a divisional opponent. While there's plenty to love in White's confidence, it'll be quite the challenge for him to lead New York's offense past the best defense in the league. In a game that could end Buffalo's two-game skid, I don't think they'll want to get caught lacking against the Jets.
Bills -12
Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers
Call me crazy, but with the recent news that Big Ben is on virus protocol, I think that the Lions can not only cover, but get their first win this Sunday. The Lions have actually been a decent team against the spread this year at 4-4, and while Najee Harris has proven himself to be a solid option at running back, there's no way that the Steelers can win a game while handing the ball to him every play. Combine that with the quick turnaround to get a QB prepared for today, and you've got a recipe for disaster for the Steelers.
Lions +6.5
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Lightning won't strike twice for the Jaguars this week, as I think Carson Wentz will prove why more people should be talking about him this season. He's no MVP candidate, but when healthy, has excelled in his current system in Indianapolis. The Jags are bad, and even worse on the road, so I really can't see them doing much in this one.
Colts -10.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Football Team
Tampa has had a rough go against the spread this season at 3-5, but against a Washington team that is 1-7 ATS, I don't think Brady and Company should have too much trouble. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have combined for 315 yards over their last two games, and against a Washington defense that is 26th in the league, I think Brady will be able to walk over this one to a near-blowout win.
Buccaneers -9.5
4 PM Games
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers
Dalvin Cook is going to smoke this Chargers defense, who currently rank last in the league at stopping the run. When Cook needs to catch his breath, Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson will be there to pickup the slack via Kirk Cousins passes. The Vikings are a much better team than their record shows, which is why you should take Minnesota +3.5 in this one.
See you next week!
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